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2024-12-13 04:40:27

Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.Oracle Bone Inscriptions's revenue in the fiscal quarter did not surprise investors. The stock price fell after hours, and the quarterly revenue of database giant Oracle Bone Inscriptions met expectations, which disappointed some investors who hoped that the cloud business would perform better. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares fell in after-hours trading. Oracle Bone Inscriptions announced after-hours Monday that its second-quarter revenue increased by 9% to $14.1 billion. Cloud business revenue increased by 52% to $2.4 billion, in line with analysts' expectations. Oracle Bone Inscriptions has been trying to find its foothold in the computing and storage leasing market, which is now dominated by larger competitors Amazon and Microsoft. Larry Ellision, chairman of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, paid special attention to the company's ability to provide hardware and integrated software for handling artificial intelligence tasks. Safra Catz, CEO of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, said in the performance conference call that the company expects revenue growth of about 8% in the third quarter, excluding some projects, earnings per share is expected to be between 1.47 and 1.51 dollars, and cloud business revenue is expected to increase by about 24%. These performance prospects are not as good as analysts' estimates. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares closed at $190.45 on Monday, down about 7% in after-hours trading. The company's share price has soared by 81% this year.South Korea said that the recent increase in financial and foreign exchange market volatility will actively respond to reverse market sentiment. The South Korean government said in a joint statement that the recent increase in financial and foreign exchange market volatility is somewhat excessive considering the fundamentals of South Korea's economic stability and the stability of the external environment. The government and the Bank of Korea are capable of coping with the market and will actively respond to reverse market sentiment. Pay close attention to market trends and will use all measures to stabilize the market. South Korean Finance Minister Choe Sang-mu, Central Bank Governor Lee Chang-yong and financial regulators meet every day to evaluate the financial market.


In October, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, and the trend of steady improvement continued to consolidate. The General Administration of Market Supervision announced today (10th) that in October, 2024, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, up 0.47 points from September, and the steady improvement of corporate credit level continued to consolidate.The overall scale of bonus ETF exceeds 71.1 billion yuan, leading the products to exceed 20 billion yuan. As the largest dividend ETF at present, on December 6, the scale of Huatai Bairui bonus ETF rose to 20.121 billion yuan, becoming the first dividend ETF to exceed 20 billion yuan. According to the data, the product takes the dividend index of Shanghai Stock Exchange as the benchmark for performance comparison and adopts the investment strategy of complete replication method. As of December 9, the product had a floating profit of 18.21% during the year. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, as of December 9, 13 bonus ETFs have been newly established this year (excluding QDII funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect and other overseas products). On the whole, there are 37 bonus ETF products with a market size of 71.185 billion yuan. In the current market environment, dividend investment strategy has strong appeal. (Securities Daily)China Xinbao signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Henan provincial government, and "Henan released" the news of WeChat official account on December 10th. Recently, China Export Credit Insurance Corporation and the Henan provincial people's government signed a strategic cooperation agreement to promote a higher level of opening up in the new era. According to the strategic cooperation agreement, China Xinbao and the Henan Provincial People's Government will give full play to their respective advantages, continuously expand and deepen multi-field and multi-level cooperation in the field of opening up, take various measures to stabilize foreign trade, consolidate traditional markets and expand emerging markets; Actively cultivate and expand foreign trade entities and improve the level of digital trade empowerment and financing facilitation; Expand the new kinetic energy of foreign trade development and create new advantages of cross-border trade hub services in central China; Strengthen the chain stabilization of key industrial chains and actively implement the strategy of "going out"; Deepen the construction of Henan's "Belt and Road" platform mechanism, build an overseas risk prevention and control system, jointly promote the high-quality development of Henan's foreign trade and economic cooperation, and promote Henan's high-level opening up.


Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.Soochow securities: Market sentiment is expected to boost allocation opportunities in pro-cyclical directions. The soochow securities Research Report pointed out that in the short term, policy easing is expected to further heat up, and market sentiment is expected to be boosted. In the short term, it is suggested to pay attention to allocation opportunities in pro-cyclical directions. Before and after the inflection point of previous economic cycles, due to the obvious increase of investors' attention to policies, market transactions at the end of the year often revolve around policy expectations. Compared with 2012, 2014 and 2022, with the gradual landing of macro boots at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, the market style may switch to the broader market in stages. In the short term, the market sentiment will be significantly boosted, and the pro-cyclical style is expected to usher in configuration opportunities.Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)

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